Posts Tagged ‘Forex’

Dragonfly & Gravestone Doji Candlestick Patterns- A Rare But Highly Profitable Patterns!

Mar 10, 2010 Uncategorized

Candlestick Charting is one of the most powerful tools in the trading arsenal of any trader. Candlestick Charts apply to any market no matter what you trade-stocks, forex, futures, options, ETFs, commodities, bonds and others. With one simple glance on the chart, you can figure out the sentiment of the buyers and sellers in the market. There are many candlestick patterns that are used as trading signals. Some are simple while others are complex. Doji Candlestick Pattern is a simple pattern that is very easy to spot. It has no body. It is formed when the opening and the closing prices are the same. So, this pattern is all wicks with no stick. It literally looks like a Cross on the chart. So you can easily spot it. But it is very rare as the security opening and closing prices are seldom equal! Doji has some variations. We will discuss these variations in this article!

In other words, the opening and the closing prices should be the same for a Doji to be formed. So for a Doji to be truly formed on a trading day, throughtout the trading day heavy buying or selling may take place but at the end of the day, the price should be where it had been at the start. In other words, the opening and the closing prices should be the same for a Doji to be formed.

It is a signal that the battle between the bulls and the bears had been a draw during the trading day when a Doji is formed with the opening and the closing prices equal. Soon, either the bulls or the bears are going to previal. In other words, a trend reversal is about to take place.

A Dragonfly Doji pattern is unique in the sense that the opening, closing and the high prices are all the same or equal. A Dragonfly Doji is formed when the stocks opens, trades down during first part of the day. During some part of the day, the price starts to climb again and eventually closing on the high which is the same as the open.

When a Dragonfly Doji is formed, bears initially decide to rule the market. But at some point the bulls step in and decide to buy again. When the bulls step in, they start pushing the price up. As the bulls dominate the trading day, the security price ends up right where it had started.

The low on this pattern can be taken as the support level because this was the level at which the bears entered the market and started buying. Dragonfly Doji is considered to be a bullish candlestick pattern.

A bearish Gravestone Doji Pattern is formed when the open and close of the day is equal to the low of the day. This is the most bearish of the Doji patterns. A bearish Gravestone Doji pattern signals the start of a prolonged downtrend in the security price.

As said before, this pattern is rare but very easy to spot on the chart. When it does form, get ready for a trend change!

Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. Master these Candlestick Patterns with this 82 page PDF FREE Candlestick Guide! Get this 49 page Quantum Swing Trading Report plus the shocking Profit Button Report that applies no matter what you trade-stocks, forex, futures or options FREE!

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Before Short Selling-Know These Shocking Facts

Mar 9, 2010 Uncategorized

Short Selling Stocks is one of the favorite day or swing trading strategy. Many traders short stocks. Now many stock brokers make it very easy for the investors and traders to short stocks. Now a days, most of the trading is being done online. When you sell a stock, a message will ask you whether you are selling stocks that you own or you are selling short. With one click, you tell the broker that you are short selling. The broker than goes about and arranges the shares for you to short sell. These shares are a loan to your account.

Now, you cannot always short a stock instantly. Most of the investors work on rumors. In some cases,a stock gets so much shorted that there are no more shares of that stock left for you or your broker to borrow anymore. In that case, you simple will have to cross your fingers and see how the other short sellers do on that stock while you search for another stock to short!

Now, shorting is one of the favorite strategies employed by day traders. A day trader may short stock on the mundane reason like its price had been going up for three days and it’s time to come down! Day traders are not fundamental traders. Day traders are simply interested in the daily volatility in the stock. Most even don’t do any financial or fundamental analysis of the companies whose stocks they are trading. Almost all are technicians or what you call technical analysis experts.

Now, you cannot straight away short a stock as there are mechanisms in place employed by msot of the stock exchanges that don’t want a massive shorting attack on a stock. There is the famous Uptick Rule that has been put in place to prevent that from happening. What the Uptick Rule means is that you cannot short a stock unless it moves up on the last trade. This rule has been placed to prevent a stock from being driven down to almost zero by short sellers. In simple words, once the stock starts to move down, you cannot short it. You will have to wait for its price to move up on the last trade, before your short selling order can be executed by the broker.

Now you have to be careful when shorting a stock as certain risks are involved. In theory, there is no limit on how high a stock price can go high. So when betting on something going wrong, if you yourself go wrong, the potential loss in case of a stock price going up can be immense.

There is something known as Short Squeeze. A short squeeze happens when the stock of the company that you have shorted has some good news that drives the stock prices high. Now if this happens, many short sellers might lose money and even get margin calls. When they get desperate to buy back the stock, its prices go even higher hurting them more.

If you have already shorted that stock, you might get a call from your broker to return that stock immediately. In such a case, you will have to immediately return the stock even if it doesn’t make any sense to you!As said before, companies, investors and many brokers hate short sellers. They think that short sellers had intentionally driven down the stock prices. So sometimes, they will spread rumors of good news to create a momentary short squeeze. Sometimes, a campaign will be started by the owners of a particular stock instructing their brokers not to loan out their stocks to short sellers.

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Candlestick Trading Patterns- The Hanging Man, the Hammer and the Spinning Top!

Mar 6, 2010 Uncategorized

Hanging Man and the Hammer are two different candlestick patterns. The patterns are not identical. Hanging Man is considered to be bearish and the Hammer is considered to be bullish.

How to spot the Hanging Man and the Hammer? These candlestick patterns are easy to spot on the chart. When you spot a very small candle body accompanied by a pretty long wick on the bottom, it is a Hanging Man if it appears at the top of the uptrend and it is a Hammer if it appears at the bottom of the downtrend.

Now, in most of the cases, you will also find a small wick on the top of the candle body. Now suppose, you find the Hammer or the Hanging Man. What you need is to look for the confirmation the next day!

Now suppose, you think that you have spotted the Hanging Man in an uptrend. Wait for the confirmation the next day with the opening price. If the opening price on the next day is less than the previous day’s close, you have a true Hanging Man. If not, then that was not a true Hanging Man.

Similarly, if you spot a Hammer at the bottom of a downtrend, you need to confirm it with the opening price on the following day. If the opening price on the next day is higher than the closing price on the last day, the Hammer formed was a true Hammer.

When you trade candlestick patterns, you need to look for the confirmation on the following day to confirm that the candlestick pattern formed was indeed true. Once you have the confirmation signal, you can safely trade on that candlestick pattern. If you cannot get the confirmation, you should ignore that pattern considering it to be false. Most of these candlestick patterns are ideally suited for the daily charts.

A Spinning Top is another candlestick pattern that reveals a tight battle between the bulls and the bears. Whenever, the battle between the bulls and the bears ends in a draw on a trading day, the following day, one side has to give in. When this happens an explosive move in one direction is highly likely.

Spinning tops appear much more frequently and are very easy to spot with a very small body in the middle of the candlestick and almost equal wicks on the two sides. A spinning top is a nice indication that the trend is about to change direction. Knowing about a trend change early is a highly profitable trading signal.

Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. Get this 49 page Quantum Swing Trading Report FREE. Master Candlestick Charting with this 82 page PDF FREE Candlestick Guide!

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Spot Trading Gold On Forex Shocking Secrets

Mar 5, 2010 Uncategorized

Have you ever given a gold ring to your friend as a token of your true love? Gold has been the most precious metal from the dawn of civilization. It is still considered to be the ultimate currency and the ultimate store of value in times of political uncertainity. For the last ten years, the gold market is in a secular uptrend with the spot prices having recently breached the historical barrier of $1,200 per troy ounce. After that there was a retracement and the prices did come down to around $1,100 per ounce but this uptrend is expected to continue for sometime.

In the last decade, many investors turned towards forex after the historic crash in the stock market. Many small investors lost more than 60-70% of their saving accounts in the stock market crash. Now, forex is a great money making opportunity. It is being said that forex trading will make many millionaires in this decade.

Many people don’t know this that you can trade gold on forex too. Many forex broker platforms that you use to trade forex, allow trading of gold and silver against the US Dollar (USD) from the same platform. Both these precious metals have high demand in the industrial sector and as the global economy recovers from the recession, the prices of gold and silver are expected to skyrockets as industrial production picks up and consumers start buying again. When you trade a currency pair, you go long on one currency and short on the other. In other words, you simply buy one and sell the other.

There are many currency pairs that you can trade like the GBPUSD, EURUSD, UADUSD, NZDUSD, JPYUSD. Spot trading gold on forex is almost similar with gold replacing one currency in the pair and the other currency is always USD. In case of spot gold trading on forex, you trade one ounce of gold in the spot market againt US Dollar (USD). So just like when you trade a currency pair, when you trade gold on forex, you are taking either a long or a short position in gold against USD.

Now, suppoe the price quote in the spot market is 1100 XAUUSD. What this means is that one troy ounce of gold in the spot market right now is equal to $1,100 USD. So, in spot gold trading on forex, you are trading one troy ounce of gold against USD. Interestingly the symbol for this is also XAUUSD with XAU representing one ounce of gold.

Just like any currency pairs, stock or for that matter any security, the price quote in the spot gold market has got a bid-ask spread. Suppose the price quote in the spot market is 1110/1115. This means is that you can buy one ounce of gold at a rate of $1,115 and sell one ounce at the rate of $1,110 to your broker. Now, spot gold trading on forex is a fast moving market. Due to the fast moving nature of the spot gold market, the spread keeps on changing throughout the day!

Now a standard lot in currency trading is equal to $100,000. But in case of gold on forex, a standard lot is equal to 10 troy ounces of gold. So, if you find the price quote to be 1112/1117 and you are interested in going long. In that case you will have to buy 1 lot of gold that is equal to $11,170. Spot gold market is a fast moving market and the price quotes keep on changing. So, suppose just after 60 minutes, you find the quote to be 1120/1126. You see a profit and decide to get out selling at $11,200 making a profit of $30. Now if you had used leverage, you would have needed a much lower initial investment to make a profit of $30 in just 60 minutes.

Gold and USD have an inverse correlation relationship. What this means is that the gold prices and USD move in opposite direction in the long term. This inverse relationship may not hold in the short term. But if you are a trend trader or a position trader, you can hedge your position in currency pairs that have correlation with gold prices by taking opposite positions in the spot gold on forex market.

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How To Back Test Your Trading System? Know These Shocking Limitations!

Feb 27, 2010 wealth building

Your trading system needs thorough testing before you decide to trade live with it. A trading system might comprise of a set of indicators. You need to know how well your trading system and its set of indicators work in a particular market.

How to do backtesting? Backtesting uses historical data to test the performance of the trading system under the past market conditions. Using a backtesting software makes it very simple and easy.

There are many problems with historical data. There is no slippage in backtesting. Slippage is one of the most important problem that a trader faces while trading live. The other problem that the backtest ignores is the widening of spreads under volatile market conditions. So backtesting results are no guarantee that the trading system will perform well under live market conditions. Things that worked in the past might not work now. Similarly something that didn’t work in the past, may work now! You never know!

In other words, no two trades work out in exact the same way twice. SO you have to be careful when looking at the back testing results and take it with a pinch of salt. However, there are still some advantages of back testing a trading system.

Back testing can give you a feel how a particular market behaves under certain conditions. Back testing can also spot you certain general characteristics of the market like the seasonal trends and market tendencies.

For example, some markets especially the commodities market is highly seasonal and cyclical in nature. Now in other markets, you might not find any seasonal trends. For example, there is very little seasonality in curreny market or the bond market. In case of the stock market, there is much talk of the January Effect. Well, it is there no doubt about it. Some years, it is highly pronounced and others it is not that pronounced. Similarly stock prices tend to rise at the end of each month and the first few days of the new months. The reason for this is that many institutional investors tend to put the new funds to work at the end of the month and the beginning of the new month!

Back testing can also help you establish the amount of time a particular market tends to run in a certain direction. For example, in case of US Dollar Index, its trend lines tend to last for months to years.

There is no substitute for live trading results! To tell you the truth, backtesting can only give you a rough guess about the performance of the trading system under live trading conditions.

Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. Download this 1 Minute Forex Trading System FREE that makes money anytime instantly! Read this shocking FREE 40 page PDF FRWC Brutal Truth Report that exposes everything about trading robots!

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How Momentum Investing Can Make You Rich?

Feb 27, 2010 wealth building

There is a difference between trading and investing. Trading is always short term while investing is long term. The time horizon in trading can be as short as a few minutes to a few days to a few weeks. Whereas in investing, the time horizon can be months to years. Many people day trade or swing trade stocks, currencies, futures, options, ETFs, commodities or other markets. In day trading, a trader opens a position and closes it in the same day making a quick profit. In swing trading, a trader tries to ride a trend in the market as long as it lasts. On the other hand, an investor is least pushed about the short term swings in the market. He or she has a long term time horizon like a few months to even a few years. This long time horizon matches their investment and financial goals!

Investors in theory can wait for a long time to see their stock pick to play out. A company’s stock may be ridiculously cheap. But it may stay like that for a long time before it catches everyone else’s attention and the price is bid up. It might be good for investors to learn a few tricks from traders especially day trading that can help them make a few quick bucks.

There is a general problem with so many investors. They fall in love with their investment after doing so much research and committing so much time for the position to work. Now, day traders are always hit and run types. They have developed an innate sense of discipline among themselves that teaches them when to commit money to a trade and when to cut and run. So, many investors when they fall in love with their investments on the long run forget this cardinal rule of trading that you have to cut your losses. Market least care who you are and how long you have been in it.

When, there is momentum behind a security, it means that it’s price will continue to icnrease as long as it has got momentum. This way by investing in stocks having momentum behind them, you avoid the risk of getting stuck in stocks that might not move for months and months.

When a security goes up in price with a strong demand underneath it, it said to have price momentum behind it! Now, as a long term investor, you should look for securities having momentum behind them just to avoid getting stuck with securities for months before they start moving. It pays to be patient. But it works even better when the money that you invested works for you while you wait.

How to you find that a security has got momentum behind it? You can use these technical indicators like the MACD ( Moving Average Convergence and Divergence), RSI (Relative Strength Index) or the Stochastic. A swing trader is also looking to ride a trend as long as it lasts. A trend lasts as long as it has got momentum behind it. Momentum investing is similar to swing trading.

Momentum investing can also lead to bubbles like that happened in the dot com bubble in the last few years of 1990s. It is always a good idea to do some fundamental research on the companies before doing momentum investing.

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Forex Trading Facts.

Jan 20, 2010 wealth building

Forex trading is a sophisticated market that was occupied by major banks and brokers, although now it could and is being infiltrated by the ordinary JO but it does not mean he can benefit from it easily.

Foreign currency trading was and will be for ever, it’s the wheel behind global finance, and to get into such monsters island you need to learn and train to be a monster as well, they do not take prisoners and they do not forgive.

If you are trying to get into forex trading market, you need to accept this fact, “You can and will lose money”; forex trading is a zero sum game. Smarter more savvy traders will earn money, and you better believe it some of them are making millions of dollars on monthly basis, but JO and you will more than likely lose money if not all their money trying.

Here are some tips from John to Jo if I may:

To try your luck in the foreign currency world, don’t rely on luck, start learning the basics of forex trading and all the parameters and its meaning before using your first dollar. If you think you have good luck, try poker. Forex is more than a science of how to identify small changes with each pair of currencies, what is the connection between all kind of currencies and what is the trading process.

You can not jump into an ocean before learning at least how to swim, and forex is a huge stormy ocean. But you don’t need to go to forex school, and honestly I don’t recommend any offline forex course at all. The best way is to have a good reliable online course that you can join, with online courses you can save all the materials and re-learn it when ever you need to, you will also be updated with the newest information, technology, strategies and news. We think that Peter Ben Forex Mentor course is the best yet you can read about it here Learn Forex Trading .

Currencies are not like stock! You can’t just buy a currency and hold on to it, hoping it will increase relative to the other currencies. You have to constantly buy and sell to make money. The overall graphs might show a trend over time, but if you look closely, the graph is a zig-zag line. This zig-zag is where you make money. Overall trends are worhtless, because this is not stock.

You will be trading through a Forex broker. This broker will take a percentage of the spread. The spread is the difference in your buying price and selling price. This is like a fee. This fee is payable whether you gain or lose. The more you gain or the more you lose the higher the fee that is payable to the broker.

You have to be emotionally detached. This is hard especially hard when faced with mounting losses. The key here is not to throw good money after bad. Can you give up a trade after investing and losing thousands of dollars, or will you be tempted to continue the trade hoping to reverse your loses?

A great way to eliminate this last factor “emotions”, is to use an automated forex robot, known also as “Expert Adviser”, I am convinced that 99% of expert traders are using one or more of these robots, if not to make the trade, as a secondary help and point of view.

Forex robots are, I think, a must have with your forex trading, but do not purchase a robot, install it and keep your full manual trading. Use the robot, let it make some trades for you and see how the money in your account changes. .

Here is a list of top voted for Automated Forex Software. Or see only the best two Forex Robots

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Green Energy Stocks Investing

Dec 7, 2009 wealth building

Do you know China is the largest producer of coal? Coal production n China would peak somewhere around 2010-2020. Are you aware of the fact that the peak of the global oil production (all liquids, including unconventional oil) will peak in the next few years.

The global peak of uranium production lies somewhere around2025-2050. The global peak of natural gas production lies somewhere around 2025! You must be thinking what to do every available source of energy seems to be peaking in the near future?

But there are many safe and environmentally friendly methods to generate the energy required. Uptill now these methods had been ignored maybe because they were a bit expensive. They were expensive in the sense that these methods factor in the external costs that were previously being ignored. Do you know this fact that the US Department of Energy has estimated that there is enough available offshore wind energy of the coasts of US that can nearly cover the current US electricity capacity? So what will fill this void in energy production in the coming decades?

With introduction of energy saving technology in the fluorescent lamps and bulbs, a lot of energy can be saved. If every bulb in the US was replaced with an energy efficient fluorescent lamp, enough energy could be saved to shut down around 100 power plants. If all the care in US were hybrids by 2025 that would roughly reduce 80% of the US oil import.

The solution is already there and as the end of fossil fuel nears which is only a decade away, more and more alternative energy solutions will be used to generate cheap energy. Enough power could be generated for the entire US by covering only 9% of Nevada desert with parabolic trough systems. This is something like a plot of land 100 by 100 miles.

This is something that is bound to happen. The supplies of fossil fuel are finite and will be exhausted in the near future. You might have seen only a glimpse of that last year in 2008 when crude oil prices jumped to around $150 per barrel.

Oil deposits are being depleted at a fast pace and these resources once finished cannot be replenished. This prediction is based on our insatiable energy consumption and the lack of conventional supplies to meet the growing energy demand. This is most probably the safest long term bet that you can make in the long term. There is little doubt that companies operating in the green energy sector will ultimately become the major players in the overall energy generation and transportation mix of tomorrow.

Keeping in view the above facts, investing in green energy stocks in the best long term investment that you can make! Imagine Henry Ford in’09 asking you to invest in his Ford Motor Company that is about to mass produce a horseless carriage.

He tells you that this invention could change the entire landscape of the country. Knowing everything that you know right now with the power of hind sight with you, you will definitely say yes. But many folks in that year of’09 were skeptical about Model T success. This is now 2009, exactly a century has passed. Do you think investing in green energy stocks is a bad idea?

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A Personal Watershed – Is Forex For You?

Dec 6, 2009 wealth building

Millions of investors are making (and sometimes losing) money in the forex markets around the world. It’s a huge opportunity and creates a steady job you can do from the comfort of your own home. We’re going to cover the ups and downs of forex trading and how to make it work for you – and give some guidance on whether or not it’s the right job for you.

The forex market works by profiting off of the changes in values on a pair of currencies; for example, at the time of this writing, one Euro costs $1.26. If you bought Euros at $1.26 and next week they were work $1.30, you made 4 cents off of each Euro you bought. This has two big advantages. The first is that currency will be less likely to devalue down to zero value in a short period of time than a stock will. The second is that there’s a lot less research to do; you don’t need to read a 10-K statement and infer what you can about how a company is run before buying stock. You do need to keep track of financial sector news dealing with fiscal policy and central banks.

Forex offers a lot of opportunities, largely because forex trading happens worldwide, nearly 24 hours a day, from Monday morning in London to Friday night in Hong Kong. It’s a constant bustle, and lots of chances to make your play on a currency swing, and you can trade as often as you like. The flip side is that it’s easy to become afraid to leave your desk for fear of missing a trade. There are plenty of trading plans, ranging from day trader volatility plays to longer term position plays.

While there is a potential to make a lot of money in forex trading, that potential is only seemingly boundless. You’re still going to be constrained by the usual trading range in basis point pips between a currency pair, and if you spot a trend, it’s odds on that others have as well; like any kind of volatility based trading, you’re always running on five minute old information. You can make (or lose) thousands of dollars in a handful of minutes.

If manual trading isn’t your thing, you can even set up several expert advisors to make your trades for you. In this way, you can make steady gains with your account over a long period of time. This strategy doesn’t even require you to know much about the forex market. You can just set them up and forget them.

Forex is a good way to pull in a decent income working from home. It’s not the road to automatic easy riches, it’s an investment. Like other investments you have to pay attention to it to avoid disasters, and the risk of disasters in forex is as large as the potential gains, especially with leveraged brokerage accounts. Still, it’s a good way to make a lot of money working from home with nobody breathing on your neck.

The earning potential for good forex trading starts at about 40K a year, and can easily exceed 500K a year for a decent private investor. We recommend starting out small, and using conservative strategies to get the basics out of the way first. Think of them as training wheels before you start trying to swing 30,000 dollar trades on borrowed money.

If you’re the sort of person who lives for being wired on coffee, staying inside for a– hour trading day, and staring at a computer screen, forex trading may be for you – even if only temporarily. The real secret of forex day traders is that the successful ones get out of it and retire, and retire early.

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Learning Forex Basics

Nov 24, 2009 wealth building

The foreign currency exchange market is quickly becoming one of the fastest growing investment choices in the world. More than a trillion dollars each day is exchanged on the forex market. This is a truly global market that operates 24 hours a day. So why is this massive marketplace becoming so popular and what is forex?

Forex trading simply means exchanging the currency of one country for the currency of another. If it appears that your own currency looks like it might be dropping, this must mean the value of another currency somewhere in the world is going up by comparison. By trading one currency for another in the hopes that the original one you began with goes up, you can generate profits when you close out that trade.

For example, if you’re beginning with the US Dollar (USD) and trading it for the British Pound (GBP), then you hope that the value of the USD goes up or appreciates in value. When the price does go up, you trade your GBP back for your original USD and you receive the higher amount back again.

Pips are the pricing units using when you’re trading currencies. Your trading prices will always be quoted in pips and you’ll notice you’re quoted two sets of prices. This is called your spread. You will need to spend a bit of time understanding how the pricing works if you want to succeed in forex trading.

There are several ways to create trading strategies. You might decide to try scalping, swing trading or even trending. Scalping is perhaps one of the more popular trading strategies. This is where you place lots of small, quick trades. Buy smaller contracts of several currencies and then close out your trades quickly, taking lots of smaller profits at a time rather than hanging on for the one big profit, but you minimize any losses with this tactic.

With so much growth in the forex market, there are obviously a lot of different people involved. You will find that there are a lot of products and services that you can purchase to help your forex trading. Everything from coaching programs to robots that trade for you will be pitched and promoted. If you’re new to the market, it is probably a good idea to get some kind of guidance. Without it, you will probably lose a lot of money fairly quickly. However, you want to make sure that you investigate any product thouroughly before you buy it.

With so many products on the market, you can be sure that some of them are scams. This is why you need to do your homework and talk to other people who have been successful with a system before you buy it. You can read reviews and see customer comments on pretty much any product you’ll find.

The same rules apply when you’re trying to find the right forex broker. Because the forex market is global and the internet is a global medium, you might find the broker is in a country where the regulations are not as strict as they could be. If you can, try to be sure to find a broker who operates from the same country in which you live.

While the forex market can be incredibly lucrative, it can also be equally volatile. Take a bit of time to learn how the market place works before you begin trading.

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